Secretary of State, John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov met in Switzerland today. They were there to negotiate a potential deal that would see the United States and Syria avoid a conflict, and to contain any violence that may spawn off an attack on Bashar’Al Assad. As the world watches to super powers convene over a catalyst to another war in the Middle East, I couldn’t help but think back a few years to something I heard.
It was on the Daily Show with Jon Stewart. He said, “I can’t figure out if Obama is playing on some jedi level of thinking 20 steps ahead of everyone, or if he’s just struggling to get by.”
I think Barrack Obama is a jedi.
The left and right broadcasting companies are jockeying for position over what’s more American, strikes on Syria or not getting dragged into another Iraq. Meanwhile, President Obama sits in his office and looks at the data that is coming into him. He is in a position of scrutiny. No matter what positions or stance he takes, domestic or foreign, someone out there will declare why he is the worst president ever. It is this clatter of 24 hour news broadcasts, and left vs. right interviews, which leads me to believe we are all being manipulated by the president.
Let’s look at what’s on the table.
Obama has stated since August of 2012, that a red line for action against Syria would be the use of chemical weapons. When the gas attack on August 21, 2013 happened, it was almost a year to the date. Obama’s foreign policies since he’s been in office have been decisive. It started out just weeks into his first term in 2009, a US cargo ship was attacked and boarded by pirates. The US Navy intercepted, shot and killed three Somali pirates. According to CNN and the New York times, the decision to act took less than 24 hours. He shows this decisive attitude in other incidents around the world.
When the location of Osama bin Laden had been confirmed, the president took 48 hours to confirm and organize a raiding party in Pakistan. He and his staff informed no one of the plan. The Pakistani’s were left in the dark, as were all of NATO and the UN. When the sun began to set in the capital, the world had learned that Osama bin Laden had been shot and killed by Navy Seals. He saw his chance and took it. This is a common theme with the administration. Let us also look at the countless drone strikes around the Middle East that gets the green light from Obama. There have been over 350 confirmed drone attacks in Pakistan alone. That number is more than twice the number of strikes former president George W. Bush had ordered. This is a pattern that follows a specific attitude towards direct action.
We saw it once more in Libya. The US Congress voted against action in Libya, and Obama went and proceeded anyways.
One of my questions now is, why is taking his time to ask now?
My own personal opinion is: He never wanted to attack Syria in the first place.
I believe that Obama got Sec. John Kerry to leak the proposal during his speech.
Oh, what a gaffe the secretary made. I think it was planned.
If Obama had wanted to bomb Syria, he would have done it. He’s showed that if Congress doesn’t think it’s a good idea, he’ll do it anyways. Now, let’s look at what this has sparked.
Bashar’al Assad has come out and confirmed that Syria owns a chemical weapons store. Something they have denied in the past. It also puts Russia into play. Any type of ruling the UN would try and pass against Syria would have been shot down by Russia or China. By getting Russia involved in the negotiations, they are now invested in the efforts. If a deal comes to the UN they help sponsor, they can’t vote no on their own idea. They are also acting as a buffer in the Middle East.
Regardless of what the US does on the Arabian Peninsula, there will be a faction, a government, a sect, who is not happy with the results. The US will always be in a no win situation in any conflict there. However, if Russia is the one taking the lead, this changes things. There is no more knee jerk anti-US reaction. We don’t know how the region will react. There are so many factions involved, you’d need a scorebook just to keep track. We do know what type of reception there would be if US was involved. Someone would be upset. This ranges anywhere from Iran, to Russia, to any one of the faction of rebels fighting, it even would affect Israel, Palestine. I’m willing to bet, that whatever reaction there is to the Russians, it will be a lot better than that to a US plan. This leads us to the final point.
People are talking. The long people talk, the less chance there is people will die.
For the first time ever, we are seeing open communication between Syria and the West. Albeit, through Russia, but it is still happening. As of Thursday, September 12, 2013, Syria is stating they will sign the United Nations Charter on Chemical Weapons. A charter that states they will dismantle and destroy all their chemical weapons, with the threat of a Chapter 7 action, if they break the treaty.
A lot of this now depends on the players involved. The ball is kicked into Putin’s court. He now has to deal with it. He has been put in the global spot light, if he succeeds or fails will be televised and broadcast around the world. If he now states he is going to help disarm chemical weapons from Assad, he now has to do it. Or else, Russia loses a lot of traction internationally. Even now, Russia is under immense international pressure for their human rights abuses. One gets the feeling that as soon as Vladamir Putin opened his mouth, someone put a microphone, with loud speakers, right in front of him.
As it stands, the world is backing away from a potential conflict. I believe this is the first time in years, we as humans can say this has happened. I place it all on what Sec. John Kerry said in England, when he made his “gaffe.” Barrack Obama is a smart person. He thinks a few steps ahead of the plan. It is in the realm of possibilities that he got Kerry to say the line, to open a door to diplomacy. This is how world diplomacy should work. Conflicting sides coming together and negotiating a deal with something everyone can live with.
“I can’t figure out if Obama is playing on some jedi level of thinking 20 steps ahead of everyone, or if he’s just struggling to get by.”
It may have been risky to put war on the table, when what you are after is to stop the use of chemical weapons. He may be getting slammed from all sides on how he handled this whole incident. I don’t believe he thinks about that at all. He’s already thought about it, long before we have, and is now working on the next problem. He may not be Obi-Wan-Kenobi, but he definitely took on the persona of the Emperor, when using some Machiavellian dealings with Syria. Let’s not forget though, even Palpatine was trained in using the force.
Let’s hope this works out, and no further bloodshed will come from it.